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An Analysis of Malaysian Renewable energy target using Simulation Modelling Approach

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Author Affiliations

  • 1Faculty of Technology, Universiti Malaysia Pahang, Gambang, 26300, Kuantan, MALAYSIA

Res. J. Recent Sci., Volume 3, Issue (1), Pages 38-44, January,2 (2014)

Abstract

Malaysia’s electricity generation depends heavily on fossil fuels. To diversify the fuel-mix the Malaysian government set a technology specific target in 2011. The dynamic complexity of generation capacity expansion decision requires for development of an assessment model to evaluate the policy target. For this purpose, System dynamics modelling and simulation approach is used in this project. The model comprises of four sub-sectors: planning and permitting; construction; renewable operational capacity vintages, and investment decision. The time varying interactions between sub-models generate the dynamic behavior of the system. The simulation reveals a failure to achieve the renewable capacity target of 985 Mega-Watts by 2015. The model adds to the renewable energy policy development literature particularly in Malaysian context.

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