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Use of Time-Series Data of Temperature and Yield to Assess the Impact of Climate Change on Crop Yield Using Mustard in Haryana as an Example

Author Affiliations

  • 1Lecturer in Geography, S.C.D.S. Government Girls Senior Secondary School, Rohtak, Haryana, INDIA
  • 2 Department of Geography, Maharishi Dayanand University, Rohtak, Haryana, INDIA
  • 3 Department of Soil Science, CCS Haryana Agricultural University, Hisar, Haryana, INDIA

Int. Res. J. Social Sci., Volume 2, Issue (4), Pages 31-33, April,14 (2013)


This paper describes how the regression analysis of temporal variability of crop yield and temperature can be used as a tool to easily assess the quantitative impact of increased temperature, due to climate change, on crop yield. The time series crop yield and weather data are readily available for different districts. The last 30 years yield data of the seven mustard growing districts and the weather data of Hisar were used to model the yield of mustard crop to assess the impact of temperature on the yield of mustard in Haryana. It was estimated that an increase of one degree centigrade in the temperature during the crop growth period will increased the mustard yield in the state by around 140 Kg ha-1


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